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Bitcoin Tests Critical Fibonacci at $61700

FxNews—Bitcoin trades bearish from $64,280, testing the CD wave’s 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $61.700. The BTC/USD 4-hour chart below demonstrates the price, support, resistance levels, and technical indicators utilized in today’s analysis.

Bitcoin Tests Critical Fibonacci at $61700
Bitcoin Tests Critical Fibonacci at $61700

Bitcoin Technical Analysis – 9-October-2024

Bitcoin Technical Analysis - 9-October-2024
Bitcoin Technical Analysis – 9-October-2024

Bitcoin’s primary trend should be bearish because the price is below the 100-period simple moving average. Additionally, the Awesome oscillator histogram flipped below the signal line, signifying a strengthening bear market.

Additionally, the Stochastic oscillator stepped into the oversold territory, depicting 17 in the description, meaning Bitcoin is oversold, and the price can bounce from this point.

  • The relative strength index also supports the bear market but is below the median line, recording 46 in the description.
Bitcoin Technical Analysis - 9-October-2024
Bitcoin Technical Analysis – 9-October-2024

In addition to the momentum technical tools, the price flipped below the Supertrend line, signaling a sell market.

Overall, the technical indicators suggest that Bitcoin’s primary trend is bearish, and the price can decline to lower support levels.

Bitcoin Price Forecast 9-October-2024

Bitcoin Price Forecast 9-October-2024
Bitcoin Price Forecast 9-October-2024

The critical resistance of the AB bullish wave is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, which lies at $61.700. If bears close and stabilize BTC/USD below the 61.8% Fibonacci, the current bearish momentum from $64,280 will likely spread to $59,800.

The 100-period simple moving average is the critical resistance to the bearish strategy. If Bitcoin’s price exceeds the 100-SMA, the downtrend strategy should be invalidated.

Bitcoin Bullish Scenario – 9-October-2024

Bitcoin Bullish Scenario - 9-October-2024
Bitcoin Bullish Scenario – 9-October-2024

The candlestick patterns in the 4-hour chart show that the market lacks momentum. That said, the key resistance level is maintained at the 100-period SMA. If Bitcoin bulls pull the price above the 100-SMA, which neighbors the BC bearish wave %50 Fibonacci retracement level at approximately $63,200, a new bullish wave will likely be initiated.

Please note that the bull market should be invalidated if the BTC/USD price dips below the ascending trendline or the $61,700 mark.

Bitcoin Support and Resistance Levels – 9-October-2024

Traders and investors should closely monitor the key levels below to make informed decisions and adjust their strategies accordingly as market conditions shift.

  • Support: $61,700 / $59,800 / $57,765
  • Resistance: $63,200 / $64,280 / $66,700

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