Understanding the Reverse Head and Shoulders Pattern
The patterns on a forex chart can hint at where prices might go next. One of these helpful hints is called the “Reverse Head and Shoulders Pattern.” Just like it sounds, this pattern looks a bit like an upside-down person on the chart, suggesting that prices might start climbing. In this article, we’ll explore this simple yet powerful tool, making it easy for everyone to understand and use.
What’s This Pattern All About?
Imagine drawing a person standing on their head. That’s kind of what the Inverted Head and Shoulders look like:
Left Shoulder: They bounce back up a little after prices drop slightly. This first dip is the left Shoulder.
Head: Prices drop even lower this time (the deepest dip), and then they climb back up. This lowest point is the head.
Right Shoulder: Prices dip again, but not as deep as the head, and then rise. This is the right Shoulder.
Neckline: Draw a line connecting the high points after the left Shoulder and head. This is your neckline, and it’s an important line to watch!
How Do We Use Reverse Head and Shoulders Pattern for Trading?
Once you spot this upside-down person on the chart, here’s a simple guide:
- Wait for a Sign: The real deal is when prices go above the neckline and stay there. Until then, it’s just a possible hint.
- Time to Buy: If prices stay above the neckline, it’s often a good sign to buy, expecting prices to keep going up.
- Safety First: Set a point (below the right Shoulder) to sell if things don’t go as planned. This step helps limit losses.
- Setting Goals: Measure the distance from the head’s bottom to the neckline. This can help guess how much prices might rise.
Let’s use the US Dollar (USD) and Euro (EUR) pair (EUR/USD) as a sample:
- Left Shoulder dips to 1.1000.
- The head goes down to 1.0900.
- Right Shoulder drops to 1.0950.
- The neckline is around 1.1025.
If prices rise and stay above 1.1025, it might be a good sign to buy. The difference between the head and neckline is 0.0125 (from 1.0900 to 1.1025). So, prices might rise to around 1.1150.
Things to Remember
This pattern is handy, but it’s not magic. Keep these in mind:
- Watch Out for False Hints: Prices might briefly go above the neckline and then dip back down. It can be misleading.
- It’s Not Always Perfect: Even after all signs point to rising prices, things can change. News events or other unexpected happenings can affect prices.
Using other tools alongside the Inverted Head and Shoulders can help confirm your decisions and make your trades more secure.
The Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern is like a friendly hint from the market, suggesting that prices might rise. It’s a great tool in your trading toolkit, especially when paired with other tools and strategies. Happy trading!
J.J Edwards is a finance expert with 15+ years in forex, hedge funds, trading systems, and market analysis.