Fxnews—In August 2024, Poland’s trade deficit reached approximately EUR 2,244 million, the highest figure in nearly two years. This was a significant increase from the EUR 116 million deficit recorded in the same month last year.
Poland’s Imports Up 4.9%, Exports Fall by 3.3%
The total Poland’s imports rose by 4.9% to EUR 27,196 million. This increase was mainly due to more purchases of long-lasting consumer products. At the same time, the amount spent on machinery and equipment remained consistent.
On the other hand, the exports fell by 3.3% to EUR 24,952 million. This decline was most noticeable in the sales of machinery, equipment, and various consumer products.
USDPLN Technical Analysis – 14-October-2024
The U.S. dollar trades bullish against the Polish Zloty at approximately 3.932. The currency pair tested the 50-period simple moving average, neighbors the September 12 high at 3.91. Consequently, the price pulled back from 3.91, but for the uptrend to continue, the USD/PLN value must exceed the October 7 high, the 3.947 mark.
- The Awesome oscillator bars are small and green, clinging to the signal line. This means the market is neither bullish nor bearish.
- The RSI 14 hovers above the median line, signaling divergence, which indicates that the trend might reverse or consolidate.
Overall, the technical indicators suggest the primary trend is bullish, but the USD/PLN’s trend might reverse or enter a new consolidation phase.
USDPLN Forecast – 14-October-2024
The immediate resistance is the October 7 high at 3.947. From a technical perspective, a new bullish wave could begin if bulls (buyers) close and stabilize the price above this mark.
If this scenario unfolds, the next bullish target could be the August 8 high at 3.957.
USDPLN Bearish Scenario
The immediate support lies at the September 12 high, the 3.91 mark, slightly below the 50-period simple moving average.
If bears (sellers) push the price below the 3.91 support, the consolidation phase from 3.947 could extend to the 100-period SMA at 3.88, further backed by the September 3 High.
USDPLN Support and resistance levels – 14-October-2024
Traders and investors should closely monitor the key levels below to make informed decisions and adjust their strategies accordingly as market conditions shift.
- Support: 3.91 / 3.88 / 3.86
- Resistance: 3.947 / 3.975
J.J Edwards is a finance expert with 15+ years in forex, hedge funds, trading systems, and market analysis.
