In today’s comprehensive EURNZD forecast, we will first scrutinize the current economic conditions in New Zealand. Following that, we will meticulously delve into the details of the technical analysis pertaining to the EURNZD pair.
New Zealand Stocks Hit 4-Month High
Reuters – Monday saw New Zealand’s stock market climb by 14.78 points, a modest increase of 0.13%, culminating in a nearly four-month high of 11,564.98. This uptick was primarily fueled by a significant rise in US futures, spurred by Wall Street’s consecutive seven-week rally. The optimism in the market is partly due to expectations that the Federal Reserve may reduce interest rates three times in the coming year, with an additional four cuts anticipated in 2025.
Domestically, New Zealand’s service sector experienced its most substantial expansion in six months, and consumer confidence reached a near two-year high. This positive shift in sentiment is largely attributed to the increased stability following the formation of a new government in Wellington. In international news, significant monetary injections were noted in China, with the central bank infusing an unprecedented CNY 800 billion into the economy. Additionally, policy relaxations in home-buying in Beijing and Shanghai contributed to this economic stimulus.
Sector-wise, energy and non-energy minerals, along with healthcare, were the primary drivers of these gains. Notable performers included Ebos Group, surging by 3.7%, Fletcher Building by 3.2%, Mercury NZ Ltd. by 2.8%, and Mainfreight Ltd. by 1.9%.
EURNZD Forecast: A Technical Analysis
FxNews – The EURNZD currency pair has recently returned to a significant support zone, ranging narrowly between 1.7497 and 1.7467. This particular level has been tested four times in 2023 and, notably, it has remained unbreeched thus far. From a bullish technical analysis perspective, if this support level holds firm, we can anticipate a rebound of the EURNZD pair from this formidable point. This potential bounce-back is a key aspect to watch for traders monitoring this currency pair.
Conversely, if the bears manage to consistently keep the EURNZD price below this resistance level, it could signal the continuation of the current downtrend, potentially ushering in a new bearish phase. It is crucial to confirm that the price has decisively crossed below the support and established stability there. This is important because, in such scenarios, there’s a frequent occurrence of false breakouts, which can mislead traders regarding the true market direction.
Therefore, careful observation of the EURNZD pair’s behavior around this crucial support level will be essential in determining the currency pair’s future trajectory.
J.J Edwards is a finance expert with 15+ years in forex, hedge funds, trading systems, and market analysis.