EURGBP Forecast – UK Bond Yield Reshuffle


In today’s comprehensive EURGBP forecast, we will first examine the current economic conditions in the United Kingdom. Then, we will meticulously delve into the details of the EURGBP pair’s technical analysis.

UK Bond Yield Reshuffle

Bloomberg—The yield on the UK’s 10-year Gilt, a type of government bond, held steady at 4.3%. This comes as UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak undertook a cabinet reshuffle. Market watchers await upcoming data releases on inflation, retail sales, and unemployment later this week.

Sunak replaced his interior minister, Suella Braverman, with James Cleverly in the reshuffle. This move followed Braverman’s criticism of the police’s handling of a pro-Palestinian march over the weekend. David Cameron was appointed as the UK foreign secretary in another significant change.

Traders also look forward to insights from Bank of England board member Catherine L. Mann. This interest follows last week’s cautionary statement from the bank’s chief economist, Huw Pill. Pill stressed that the forecast of a prolonged need for restrictive monetary policy should not be seen as an absolute commitment.

This reshuffle and the upcoming economic data releases could have significant implications for the UK’s financial markets.

EURGBP Technical Analysis and Forecast

The EURGBP trend is currently bullish, with trading patterns indicating an upward flag. However, the momentum of the uptick has seen a slight decrease this week after the EURGBP price reached the middle line of the bullish flag on the daily chart.

EURGBP Forecast - UK Bond Yield Reshuffle

EURGBP Forecast – UK Bond Yield Reshuffle – Daily Chart

For a more detailed understanding of the price action, let’s delve into the EURGBP 4-hour chart. In the 4-hour chart, the pair has broken the bullish trend line (indicated in red). At present, it is testing the 0.872 pivot. If the price closes below the pivot, the correction will likely continue toward the lower levels, starting with the 0.868 support (S1).

eurgbp forecast

EURGBP Forecast – 4H Chart

It’s important to note that the market is predominantly bullish. Therefore, shortening the currency pair is not recommended. The 0.868 deck provides a substantial supply zone to increase bullish bids on the pair.

Stay tuned for more updates on the EURGBP forecast and make informed trading decisions.

  • 13 November 2023